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Hit List 7-28-2010

July 28, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

07282010-TdgLst
trading-list-legend
NEM Target 2 hit, GDX stop tightened, MOS added

Open Position Notes:

GDX moved slightly lower this morning, just enough to hit Target 1 where I booked 1/2 profits for a quick 4% gain.  This ETF did rebound from there, finishing positive on the day.  This trade has been acting well, and I’m going to stick with it for now, but I have tightened my stop again for remaining shares tonight.  That way, if it rebounds, I’ll ring the register for a solid net winner, and if it sells off again, I’ll watch for a move to Target 2.

0728-2010-Portf

Closed Positions:

NEM hit Target 1 on Tuesday, so overnight I only had a 1/2 position.  I realized this morning that earnings were reported before the bell, which was a complete accident.  I look at a handful of earnings calendars, and apparently the one I looked at for this stock was mistaken on the reporting date.  So, I never intended to hold this position into that major news.  Nonetheless, it worked out favorably (read: “lucky”), and Target 2 was hit today where I closed out the remainder of my position for a nice 7.3% winner.  I’m now out of the trade, and will wait for a new pattern to set up before looking for another entry.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 7-28-2010

July 28, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Overbought conditions following the rally which began last week opened the door for some profit-taking, and that’s what we saw today.  The downside was rather limited though, and the volume was extremely light, and those are both very healthy to see.

It’s unclear whether summertime was responsible for the light volume, or merely the uncertainty of how far this pullback may carry, but there sure wasn’t much going on out there.  Earnings season is still very much in full swing, and that’s also playing a role in how active traders are willing to be at the moment.  It seems there is no shortage of reasons for traders to take it easy, so while we wait for more technical clues to emerge, that’s a good reminder for us to tread lightly.

There are many setups in the works which just need a little more time, as well as some good patterns I’m looking at for trades on Thursday.

I’ll cover my game plan for tomorrow in the video, and as always, feel free to share your own thoughts, trade ideas, and questions down below in the comments section.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: CRM, FFIV, ISLN, BUCY, CCL, RCL, HOT, CSTR, SYK, NFLX, LNCR, MOS

0728-2010VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

MOS bottomed out at the first of the month, and since then has been under steady accumulation.  A push through resistance will trigger a buy for me, as this one has potential to accelerate higher out of this pattern.  As with all swing trades, my stop and target levels will be on the Hit List post soon to follow.

MOS-07282010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

EMR, HOT, CSTR, IOC, ITT, SOLF, CRM, FFIV, VMED, ISLN, MOS, BUCY, CCL, RCL

Bearish Watch:

PRU, CLB, SYK, CERN, NFLX, WDC, LNCR, COV, HSY

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 7-27-2010

July 27, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

0727-2010-TdgList
trading-list-legend
NEM Target 1 hit, NEM & GDX stops tightened, STP closed

Open Position Notes:

GDX headed lower today after breaking the rising trend line yesterday, showing some nice relative weakness to the market.  This one got within 2 cents of Target 1, but stabilized just above that level.  I would expect to see that level get taken out very soon, so I’m watching for continuation now that a lower low is in place.  Good action so far, and I’ve adjusted my stop loss to reduce my risk in the position while I wait for follow through.  If this one happens to show some good weakness tomorrow, I may even close it out entirely due to the sharp nature of this move and the tendency of sharp moves to invite reversals.  Therefore, keep an eye on the Twitter stream or your email inbox for a possible alert related to this trade.

NEM continued lower in a nice fashion today as it saw heavy selling pressure.  It moved down through Target 1, where I closed 1/2 profits for a quick 3.9% gain.  Target 2 came close, but the stock held above it for now.  I’ve adjusted my stop for remaining shares tonight while I wait for Target 2 to be reached, but so far, so good for this trade.  If this one happens to show some good weakness tomorrow, I may even close it out entirely due to the sharp nature of this move and the tendency of sharp moves to invite reversals.  Therefore, keep an eye on the Twitter stream or your email inbox for a possible alert related to this trade.

0727-2010-PF

Closed Positions:

STP tried to turn higher out of a very bullish base, but ultimately just couldn’t get it done.  The stock had held up very well in the face of the last market dip, but when the indexes turned back up, this one did not.  A few attempts at a rally were thwarted, and despite my patience, I finally had seen enough.  So today I sent out an intraday alert via email & Twitter that I was closing the position near breakeven ($0.01 gain) at $10.96, and shortly afterward the stock headed south.  When a setup simply isn’t playing out and has been given more than adequate time to do so, an exit near breakeven is the next-best scenario.  I took that today and will stand aside from this stock until it starts exhibiting better strength.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 7-27-2010

July 27, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

The market took a much-needed rest today as the indexes finished little changed and with mixed results.  Momentum was absent, and that’s not such a bad thing for the overall health of the current rally.  A morning gap up offered an opportunity for profit-taking, and as the indexes turned red from the gap fill, the damage was extremely limited.  Stocks stabilized for the remainder of the day, making for a range-bound afternoon.

More rest would be a very encouraging sign, although that may not happen.  Last week was the first occasion in a while where the dip was bought, avoiding an all-out reversal, and that points to some confidence among the bulls.  We’ve seen short-term higher highs and higher lows established, and it could be that the buyers keep their foot on the pedal a little longer.  This market hasn’t exactly made it easy to get on board the moves once they begin.  Nonetheless, it is a very tricky spot to be initiating new buys for anything but the shortest of timeframes, as a pullback could still come at any time.

We’re right in the thick of earnings season, and combined with the current state of this overbought market, it’s certainly a time to stay on our toes.  I’m eyeing several trades for tomorrow, but looking to stick with my existing swing trades rather than looking to add any more overnight exposure just yet.  I suspect that will change soon.

I’ll cover my game plan for tomorrow in the video, and as always, feel free to share your own thoughts, trade ideas, and questions down below in the comments section.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: RIG, DF, SMN, WDC, RIMM, PRU

0727-2010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

CEDC, RIG, BVF, STEC, DF, ATW, SMN

Bearish Watch:

RIMM, MMR, PRU, CLB, SLW, SYK, MHS, FAST, GDX, NEM, CERN, NFLX, WDC

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 7-26-2010

July 26, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

0726-2010_TL
trading-list-legend
GDX & NEM triggered

Open Position Notes:

STP stagnated again today despite the market strength, and that’s disappointing to see.  This stock had held up extremely well in the face of the last market pullback, and now that the market is running up, this stock is ignoring it.  The pattern remains bullish for now, but the longer it sits here without moving, the more it becomes a trading range rather than a flag or pennant pattern.  The $11.20 level is posing as short-term resistance, and it wouldn’t take much to get this stock moving if it can clear that level.  I’m sticking with it for now, but will look to make an adjustment soon if it proves unable to move.

GDX triggered a short sale today as it broke its rising trend line, and although it ended the day just a few cents above my trigger price, I still like today’s action.  This ETF showed good relative weakness, and the trend line rises daily, so even if price stagnates for a short time here the chart is still short-term bearish.  I’m sticking with my existing trade parameters for this one for now, and will watch for follow through in the coming days.

NEM triggered a short sale today as it undercut its rising trend line at $58.70, and I was pleased with the initial action in this one.  The stock headed steadily lower before stabilizing just slightly in the afternoon, still finishing well in the red and solidly beneath the trend line.  I’m going to hold off on making any stop adjustments just yet, but will be watching for follow through in the next couple days now that this one looks to be confirming a lower high.

0726_2010PF

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 7-26-2010

July 26, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Following the creation of higher highs on Friday, the buyers picked up where they left off prior to the weekend, and stocks moved solidly higher again today as a result.  Volume wasn’t impressive, and actually sagged slightly, but prices advanced as the major indexes headed toward their June highs.

All of this is no doubt bullish for the market.  We’ve not only seen a dip get bought, we’ve seen upside follow through to confirm that.  The issue at this point, however, is that the current advance has left many stocks rather stretched in the near term.  They may be able to run higher before resting, but a pause would be extremely healthy to see at this point.  In addition, it’s difficult to find prudent exits for new entries at current levels, as consolidations are well below for many stocks.

Nonetheless, there are some setups out there that I’m focused on as we head into Tuesday.  They’re for day trades, as earnings season is limiting the names I’m willing to hold overnight at this point.  That will change soon as more reports come forth, so for now I’ll stick with my existing overnights and look to make some quick hits tomorrow.

I’ll cover my game plan for tomorrow in the video, and as always, feel free to share your own thoughts, trade ideas, and questions down below in the comments section.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: PXD, DLB, GS, CLB, MHS, NFLX

0726-2010_VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

PXD, BIDU, CEDC, SOL, RINO, WLP, CLGX, WHR, NBL, LCAPA, STEC, MCO, DLB, CCJ, OII, GS

Bearish Watch:

MON, POT, PRU, CLB, SLW, SYK, MHS, GDX, GG, NEM, GLD, CERN, NFLX

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 7-25-2010

July 25, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

07252010-TrdgList
trading-list-legend
NTES closed, GDX & NEM added

Open Position Notes:

STP started turning higher on Thursday and Friday after testing support, and this one still looks like it has plenty of room to run.  We have yet to see good upside momentum, but I’m staying patient with this one because the pattern is so encouraging.  For now, it’s in the green, so I’m going to stick with it and watch for follow through in the days ahead.  If it continues to struggle, I’ll begin making adjustments to my stop loss.

0725-2010-Portf

Closed Positions:

NTES hit Target 1 on Thursday last week and was very close to reaching Target 2 heading into Friday, so I aggressively raised my stop loss for remaining shares (1/2 position) in case the stock happened to weaken.  On Friday morning, my stop was triggered on the open to take me out of the 2nd half of the trade at $36.39 for a 6.4% winner.  This one required some patience, and it paid off, but now the stock is encountering some technical resistance so I’ll stand aside until a new pattern emerges.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 7-25-2010

July 25, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

The rally we saw on Thursday and Friday last week consummated the higher-low theory I’ve recently outlined here, and that’s a good thing…not because I want to be right or because I want higher prices, but because trend shifts always bring some great opportunities in the market.

A lot remains to be seen this time around, but there are reasons for the bulls to be encouraged.  We’ve seen higher lows and higher highs established in recent weeks, and that puts some heat on the bears.  Small caps have cleared their descending channel, and many stocks are shaping up for higher prices.  Follow through must be seen, and that doesn’t have to be immediate, but it should happen in the next couple of weeks.  Momentum can build quickly from here if this rally is embraced, and the movement beyond key levels last week certainly turned many traders more bullish.  A push through the June highs, and this market could be off to the races.

In looking through the charts this weekend, there are no doubt a ton of stocks which are acting well at the moment.  The challenge with adding long exposure here is twofold.  First, chasing stocks well beyond clean technical buy points is a recipe for pain, and I’d rather be paid.  Second, we’re right in the thick of earnings season, making it very difficult to hold overnights safely.  In the video tonight, I’ll outline several plays which I’d normally take for swings, but with earnings in just a few days, I’m opting for shorter timeframes.  There are some swings I’m eyeing as well, and I would suspect we see plenty more in the days to come.

I’ll cover my game plan for tomorrow in the video, and as always, feel free to share your own thoughts, trade ideas, and questions down below in the comments section.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: HAL, STEC, OII, BVF, BIDU, MCO, BG, BEN, GDX, NEM

07252010-VidStks

Swing Trading Candidates:

GDX created a bit of a double top during June after failing to stay clear of the May high, and since then it has turned lower.  This Gold Miners ETF now looks to be in a downtrend, so this bounce offers a potential play on the short side if it begins to fail.  A move down through the trend line at $48.80 will trigger a short sale for me.  My stop and target levels will be on the Hit List.

GDX-07252010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

NEM created a broadening top just a few weeks ago with incremental higher highs being followed by dips to lower lows.  This stock recently sold off hard and has bounced back on weak volume, creating a rising trend line in the process.  A move down through the trend line at $58.70 will trigger a short sale for me as this one heads lower in search of support.  My stop and target levels for this swing trade will be on the Hit List.

NEM-07252010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

STP, BVF, SHLD, PXD, AEL, BIDU, YGE, RIMM, VAR, CEDC, RINO, VRX, TSLA, HAL, AKAM, CPNO, XLNX, CTSH, STEC, SOLF, ALTR, AGU, MCO, BG, HOT, CCJ, BEN, OII, HXL, WFT

Bearish Watch:

RIG, AGP, WMS, FAST, GDX, GG, ABX, NEM, GLD

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 7-22-2010

July 22, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

0722-2010-TL
trading-list-legend
NTES Target 1 hit & stop raised

Open Position Notes:

NTES has held up well in recent days when the market pulled back, and I’ve been very patient with it as a result.  Today that patience paid off as the stock caught a big bid and sprinted higher.  It pushed through Target 1 where I closed 1/2 my position for 5.8% gain, and now stands just a short distance from Target 2.  I’ve tightened my stop aggressively tonight for remaining shares for that very reason, and will likely see an exit made tomorrow one way or the other.  It’s been a good trade which was worth waiting on, and that should serve me well the next time I get a trigger and am tempted to get bored out of the trade.

STP threatened to stop out yesterday as it finished just a few cents from that level, and thank goodness it didn’t!  Today the stock jumped higher by over 4.5% to get back in the green.  I’m still waiting for price to really leave this consolidation area behind, as this is a very bullish pattern.  It’s requiring that I be patient for now, and on the heels of today’s move in NTES, I’m willing to stay with it a little longer.  Hopefully it can get back on the move tomorrow and head into the weekend with some momentum.

0722-2010-PF

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 7-22-2010

July 22, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

In the market, no two days are alike.  And that was particularly true of yesterday and today, as we saw similar starts, but very different finishes.  Wednesday’s opening gap to the upside was quickly sold, and that sparked a sharp downside reversal which left the indexes well in the red.  Today however, we saw a positive start which pulled more cash off the sidelines and into the market as traders accumulated stocks to finish just a short distance from the best levels of the day.

The market has been fickle of late, no doubt keeping traders on their toes after some pretty smooth moves in recent weeks.  The past week has been very different though, as follow through has been incredibly tough to come by.  And as we head into a summertime Friday tomorrow, that may ring true yet again.

Right now we’re at an interesting spot.  There’s potential that the dip which began last week and ended with Tuesday’s low turns into a higher low on the daily charts (as compared to the July 1st low).  That would be technically significant, no doubt about it.  What needs to happen is a push through last week’s highs, and as of yet, we haven’t seen that.

If the indexes can push through, close above, and hold those levels, then we could see a summer rally kick in.  That could be an impressive one too, with the combination of short-covering (as bears worry that the lows have been put in) and accumulation (as bulls rush in from the sidelines after a rough year) driving stocks higher.  That’s just one scenario of many which could play out, and I’m eager to see what happens.

For now, I’m off to celebrate my 35th and get away from the screens for a while.  Make it a great evening, and go get ’em on Friday!

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: DLB, BEN, OII, CMI, HOT, MYGN, YGE, RIMM, BVF, CCJ

0722-2010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

DRQ, YGE, RIMM, CEDC, SOL, WLP, BVF, ARNA, TSLA, AAP, STP, AKAM, CPNO, ADTN, EXPR, PCLN, QLIK, XLNX, RBCN, ALTR, AGU, SLXP, SDRL, HOT, CCJ, BEN

Bearish Watch:

RIG, MYGN, ANV

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

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