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Hit List 4-19-2010

April 19, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
04192010b_TL
trading-list-legend
VMW stopped, CAG stop tightened

Open Position Notes:

CAG finished lower by a few cents, but overall this one has about reached my time stop since it’s only profitable by a small amount to this point.  The daily chart has a rolling-over appearance to it, but the downside momentum is still absent.  I’m therefore tightening my stop tonight to breakeven, so that if this one turns back up through my trigger price I’ll exit the position.  It seems to be carving out a trading range here, so if that proves to be the case, I would rather exit with no harm and focus my efforts elsewhere.  And if it can weaken further, that would of course prove beneficial to this trade.

WMS pulled back slightly today, but generally respected Friday’s trading range and it finished off its worst levels.  I’ve noted lately that this one could be due for some rest, so I’m exercising some patience here with my previously-adjusted stop loss while waiting for more upside to arrive.

PDCO put in some rest today with a narrow-range bar and a minor loss, and this one is trying to consolidate above the recent breakout zone.  Here again, I’m going to exercise patience while waiting for some follow through, and have already raised my stop once.  I’ll wait for a new high before looking to make another possible adjustment.

0419-2010-PF

Closed Positions:

VMW is set to report earnings on Tuesday after the bell, so with that news coming up, I had tightened my stop for remaining shares last night with a plan to exit on additional strength should it happen to arrive.  Today the stock backed up enough to trigger my stop for remaining shares, taking me out of the 2nd half of my position.  I’m now out with a gain of 3.6% on this trade, and with major fundamental news now on the way, I’ll wait for a new technical setup before looking to re-enter.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 4-19-2010

April 19, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Morning weakness was followed by some afternoon stability and upside, leaving the NAZ near Friday’s closing level while the S&P 500 and DJIA were able to post gains.  Today’s lack of weakness obviously negated the concerns of many who expected to see some downside follow through, and once again we saw a dip get bought.

That dynamic has dominated this market for more than a year now, and it’s not likely to change without the buyers putting up a fight.  They’ve simply been paid too well to give up on what’s been a successful strategy for this long.  So while the uptrend remains somewhat long in the tooth, both in the short-term (from the February lows), and in the intermediate-term (13-month rally), it might just continue for a while.  A pullback or some extended rest phase would be a welcomed sight to many, but for now the wait continues.

Very little is showing up in the charts tonight for new plays tomorrow, but that’s a reminder that it’s all about quality rather than quantity.  More good setups will arrive soon, so while we wait for those patterns to mature, selectivity is the key.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: TUES, FO, JOE, PEI, FFIV, APOL, DV, FAST

0419-2010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

PDCO, WMS, JOE, TSRA, APOL, LPX, DV, IRE, HD, FAST, PEI, LCAPA

Bearish Watch:

CAG, CF, GDP

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 4-18-2010

April 18, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
0418_2010_TL
trading-list-legend
STT stopped, VMW & WMS stops raised

Open Position Notes:

CAG took on more of a rolling-over appearance on the daily chart with Friday’s continuation move lower, so let’s see if this one can pick up some speed on the downside.  I’ve been very patient with this slow mover, but am ready to see more than just some minor profits.

VMW had turned higher early on Friday, appearing to begin another leg up before market weakness ultimately brought it down.  It only gave up a few cents on the day, and is holding above the $56 area.  Earnings are due out on Tuesday after the bell, so I’ll be looking to make an exit in the next 2 sessions – watch for an email and on Twitter.  I’ve tightened my stop to $56 just in case we see some early weakness on Monday.

WMS gave up a little ground on Friday, but I was pleased with the rebound from its session lows.  This one is still holding nicely above the breakout zone, so I’ve tightened my stop to breakeven and will otherwise wait for follow through in the days ahead.  Friday was an important day of rest for the stock, so let’s see if it can gather strength again soon.

PDCO moved higher again on Friday, shrugging off market weakness to show some relative strength.  My target for this trade is the $33 level, so it could be reached any day now.  Let’s see if some follow through can be seen to take this one up to that zone.

0418_2010_PF

Closed Positions:

STT got hit with the other financial stocks on Friday, stopping me out for a minor 1.4% loss.  This constitutes a breakout failure with the move all the way back into the lower portion of the base, so I’ll leave this one alone for now.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 4-18-2010

April 18, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Option expiration Friday is often dubbed a volatile day, but rarely does it end up playing out that way.  Last week we saw an exception to that though, as the indexes took the most significant tumble since the first week of February.  While it’s true that’s not saying a whole lot given the one-way nature of the price action since then, but it caught many traders off guard.

It’s been easy to get lulled to sleep in this market over the past couple of months, as the overconfidence of the buyers had left volatility readings at their lowest levels since July 2007.  It seemed as though stocks may never go down again – even for a day – to some traders.  Fortunately, we know better than that, and Friday’s decline was important for a couple of reasons.

First, the shift of direction (even if it ends up being short-lived) will help to shake up many charts.  That’s a needed thing in a sea of stocks which have just been climbing steadily for so many weeks.  It should mix up things a bit, and help to create some new bases and perhaps even some lasting reversals in some stocks.

Second, Friday’s action serves as an important reminder that there is risk always present in the market.  For those who had forgotten, they now recall that stocks can and will go down sometimes.

Hopefully you didn’t suffer much damage in the selloff, and maybe you were able to offset any long-sided declines with some shorts in stocks like Thursday night’s MEE.  Time will tell if this will mark an important turning point, so I’m in no hurry to make any predictions.

Now is a time to exercise some caution with how quickly to rush in and buy this dip, because it might not be over yet.  It’s also a time to exercise some patience in letting some new setups come along.  We’ve seen quite a few in recent weeks, but it may be a few days that we’ll need to primarily sit on our hands while we wait for some technical clarity.  The steady up move followed by an abrupt drop leaves very few stocks with constructive patterns, so keep that in mind as we head into a brand new week of trading.  Protect capital, and be willing to wait for the best situations to arise before putting on more risk.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: GS, YGE, STP, IVN, FCX, WLT, CBI, LPX, DV, JCP, GDP

0418_2010_VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

PDCO, CREE, CDNS, WMS, NFLX, NOG, FFIV, APOL, LPX, DV

Bearish Watch:

JCP, LLEN, CAG, CF, CLF, NTES, GDP, MAA

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 4-15-2010

April 15, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
0415-2010-TL
trading-list-legend
No changes

Open Position Notes:

CAG edged lower today on increased volume, moving to the lower end of its trading range for the week.  This stock is still exhibiting relative weakness, which I like, but it’s requiring a lot of patience since it’s having such a hard time getting going.  Sticking with my existing trade parameters for now.

VMW gave up a few cents today, but all in all seems to just be pulling back slightly.  It’s consolidating above the breakout zone, which is healthy to see, and a small bull flag is emerging.  This could spark another move higher in the stock, so I’m still on watch for continuation to arrive.  I’m out of 1/2 already for a nice gain, and will stick with my raised stop for existing shares while waiting for follow through.

WMS headed higher again today, and continues to fill the gap from last October.  This one is acting well, and I’m sticking with my trade parameters for now.  Some rest may arrive soon.

STT is still holding above the breakout zone after a successful test, but we’re still waiting on follow through at this point.  There’s ample room above for the stock to run, so I’m staying patient for now.

PDCO finished the day right near Wednesday’s closing mark, consolidating above the breakout zone.  I still like the overall action in this one so far, and will look for follow through in the days ahead.

0415-2010-PF

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 4-15-2010

April 15, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

A nice rally off the open today provided enough lift to put the indexes in positive territory, where they also ended.  The early strength was followed by a few hours of basing action, with traders unwilling to put more capital to work.  We’ve seen a nice rally in the last several sessions, so at this point perhaps some rest is starting to arrive.

Price has surged enough that there’s a decent cushion in the NAZ and S&P 500 between current levels and the uptrend lines, which could allow for some rest or a pullback in the short term.  However, the buyers have momentum on their side, so a continued lift is not out of the question.

Tomorrow is an options expiration Friday, and as I’ve noted here many times before, those days tend to bring with them some unusual price action compared to most other days.  That, combined with the fact that I simply don’t see a lot of setups in the charts tonight leaves me looking to do very little on Friday aside from perhaps a couple of day trades and the management of my current open positions.  There have been some good moves this week for us, but when the setups aren’t there, it’s a reminder not to force trades.  Making money is nice, but giving it back is no fun, so protect capital whenever the conditions warrant a more conservative approach.  That’s my plan heading into Friday.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: TIE, FO, SFL, IVN, FCX, APOL, WLT, LPX, YGE, STP, CBI, MEE

0415-2010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

COL, LEA, PDCO, PCX, FO, GR, VMW, ACXM, PMI, TXRH, WMS, STT, UYM, WLT, MBI, MF, LPX, CBI

Bearish Watch:

CAG, MON, MEE, RTI

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 4-14-2010

April 14, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
0414-2010-TL
trading-list-legend
PDCO triggered, STT & PDCO stops tightened

Open Position Notes:

CAG bounced slightly today with the market strength, but it did underperform and the stock still remains beneath the recent bounce high.  I’ve been very patient with this slow mover, and although it’s struggling to make any headway on the downside, the daily chart still looks to be carving out a potential lower high in this area.  I’m sticking with it for now.

VMW got a tightened stop last night for remaining shares (already booked 1/2 profits at Target 1), and today the stock put in more rest.  Rather than rally with the market and build on Monday’s strength, it instead pulled back and then bounced, finishing the day right near Tuesday’s closing level.  I’m still looking for continuation in this stock, so let’s see if it makes up some ground on Thursday.

WMS turned nicely higher today, rallying on its heaviest volume in a few weeks as it began to fill the gap from last October.  This is very encouraging to see, and I’m looking for a push to Target 1 in the next day or two based on this action.

STT struggled to make any headway today after a gap up which marked the high of the session.  The stock sold off and went down to test the area of the breakout, before recovering to end the day flat.  I mentioned last night that a test of the breakout may be needed, so today’s move isn’t entirely unexpected.  Nonetheless, I would like to see this one gather some upside traction soon now that we’ve seen a successful test of former resistance, and I’ve tightened my stop tonight as well in light of that.

PDCO triggered a buy today and pushed nicely higher, ending the day right near its highs for a solid breakout.  I’ll now be on watch for continuation in this stock, looking for a move toward my Target in the days ahead.  Given the strength of today’s breakout, I would not expect to be entirely given back very quickly, so I’ve tightened my stop loss for that reason.

0414-2010-PF

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 4-14-2010

April 14, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Encouraging earnings reports out of INTC and JPM set a positive tone for stocks this morning, as earnings season is just now getting underway.  The preliminary reports from big names can often rattle the market, or put it at ease, and today the latter was the case.  A gap up this morning left traders watching carefully for a possible sell-the-news response, but that never came.  Instead, stocks began to climb and they trended higher for the remainder of the session.

Today’s move was important for a few reasons.  First, it provided a nice lift within the uptrend channels for the indexes.  That lifts price well clear of the uptrend lines which have been serving as support, and as I’ve noted here recently, that separation is where the best money can be made during acceleration phases.  Second, today’s gains were considerably bigger than we’ve seen of late.  That expansion in the ranges helps to shake things up a bit in the charts, which is a good thing.  Some enthusiasm points to greater participation by the bulls, rather than simply short-covering on any minor dip by the bears.  And finally, volume expanded nicely today.  This is an options expiration week, which last night I mentioned is often accompanied by some volume spikes, but to see volume spike along with a surge in price shows ample participation on the buy side, which gives today’s move a greater degree of credibility.

Many stocks moved with the market today, but there are still a lot of great setups out there.  I’ll continue to focus on the best I can find and present them here as they emerge.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: PCX, GGB, UYM, TEX, PMI

0414-2010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

LEA, PDCO, PCX, RDN, FNSR, PXD, VMW, ACXM, PMI, AMR, CLF, WMS, HOG, GGB, BUCY, STT, V, EMR, ZQK, FFIV, LNG, TEX, UYM, WLL, TPX, WLT, SOLF, NTAP, PRU, FTI, ROST, BZ, MDRX

Bearish Watch:

MON, AGN, SOHU, MEE, MOS

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 4-13-2010

April 13, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
0413-2010-TL
trading-list-legend
TMK & PCL & MSG closed, WMS stop tightened, PDCO added

Open Position Notes:

CAG turned lower on Monday, but today no follow through was seen.  It finished higher by 6 cents, and currently is still flirting with the $25 level.  I’m exercising some patience for now, sticking with my original stop while waiting to see if the recent bounce will prove to mark a lower high on the daily chart.

VMW surged nicely higher yesterday after clearing resistance, running through Target 1 where I closed out 1/2 my position.  I tightened my stop last night for remaining shares, and today the stock put in some rest.  That’s not entirely unexpected or unhealthy after yesterday’s move, particularly since today’s minor pullback came on far lighter volume.  I would like to see it stabilize from here and resume its uptrend soon, so that’s what I’ll be watching for in the days to come.

WMS spent the day inside Monday’s trading range, unable to really build on its breakout.  I’m trying to be patient with this one for now, but have gone ahead and tightened my stop a little bit just in case.  If Monday’s high can be cleared, I think it will bode well for the trade.

STT showed some nice early relative strength today, but some profit-taking sent the stock back below Monday’s closing level by the end of the session.  This suggests that the key level just crossed may need to be tested, so I’m going to exercise some patience here while waiting to find out.  This one has plenty of room to run higher, but continuation needs to be seen in order for that to occur.

0413-2010-PF

Closed Positions:

TMK edged higher for me over the past several sessions, but overall the strength simply hasn’t impressed me.  Today when the market was beginning to weaken, I felt the need to lighten up on some positions, and the underperformance of this one made it among the first to go.  I closed it out for a small $0.20 gain, which isn’t thrilling, but certainly isn’t bad for a trade which was failing to behave as anticipated.  The stock was able to rally later in the session, so hopefully you were able to make a better exit than me.

PCL broke out but never really surged higher with momentum as I had expected, so with a small gain on the screen and a weakening market, I cut this one loose this morning.  I ended up with a gain of 1.7%, which isn’t anything exciting, but it’s acceptable given the lack of continuation this one has shown.  I’ve been patient with it for several days, but ultimately felt the trade should have moved higher by now, so I’m out with a modest gain.

MSG broke out on extremely light volume, and after waiting a few days for either price to gain momentum or for volume to increase, neither really happened.  Today with the market showing some weakness, I felt the morning strength in the stock was worth utilizing to make an exit, so I closed out a 2% winner in this stock which has been trading too thinly for my liking.  The stock trended lower for the remainder of the session, and I’m glad to be out with a gain.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 4-13-2010

April 13, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Early weakness set the stage for a decent pullback to kick in, but once again, the buyers emerged to protect key uptrend lines in the indexes.  That sparked a gradual rally for the remainder of the session which took the market back into positive territory by the end of the day.  And while the net gains were far from impressive, it was certainly a psychological win for the buyers to once again prevent any downside from getting traction.

The S&P 500 is still struggling to overcome the 1200 level, which was support in July 2008 and hasn’t been seen since September 2008.  The uptrends which began from the February lows are still very much intact, and yet the upside has been rather limited lately.  That’s keeping me favoring the long side, but I’m keeping a close watch on my positions (and the market) in case we see things begin to slip.  I lightened up my exposure today by booking gains in a few names, but there will still be opportunities if we continue to pay attention.  That’s my game plan as we head into Wednesday.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: ZQK, X, CENX, FFIV, MEE, PDCO

0413-2010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

PDCO is sitting at the top end of a multi-week channel, and now appears poised for a breakout.  A move up through $31.40 should put this stock back on the move, with the next resistance still a considerable distance away.  I’ll be a buyer if a breakout occurs, and I’ll maintain a pretty conservative stop in case of a reversal.

PDCO-04132010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

LEA, PDCO, PXD, CNW, PCL, DPZ, UTSI, WMS, SLXP, FR, V, NFLX, EMR, X, ZQK, HTZ, PEI, SKS, CENX, FCX, ANR, CRUS, SUSQ, FFIV, LNG, APOL

Bearish Watch:

CAGC, SOHU, AGN, CAG, MON, MEE, MR

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

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