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Hit List 12-15-2009

December 15, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

TL-1215-2009
trading-list-legend
No changes

Open Position Notes:

CBT shrugged off today’s market weakness and continued higher by another 2.5% to build on its breakout.  While I like the follow through this one is finally starting to show, I particularly liked the increased volume which accompanied today’s climb.  My stop will remain as-is heading into tomorrow in order to give this one some room to fluctuate.  If it exhibits additional strength, I’ll look to make an adjustment.

MDVN tested the highs again today but couldn’t bust through them.  Instead, it gave up a little ground on light volume, essentially respecting yesterday’s trading range.  I still like this setup and the potential it holds, and I’ve already adjusted my stop, so I’ll stick with my existing parameters for this trade heading into Wednesday.

VNO posted an inside day on light volume today, pulling back to test the breakout zone.  Although I’d have rather seen it sprint higher, this is probably healthy action and thus far is not cause for alarm.  I’m sticking with my original stop loss for now, but will be on watch for strength to resume soon.

PF-1215-2009

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 12-15-2009

December 15, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Last night I mentioned that although the indexes had each posted closing breakouts by finishing above key levels, they weren’t out of the woods yet.  That cautious stance was based on the fact that volume wasn’t exceptional on the breakout, nor was the upside momentum as essentially the bulls simply maintained prices above resistance levels.  Today we saw those levels given up with ease, as prices fell right back down into the recent trading range.

This indecisive action is likely being influenced by tomorrow’s scheduled FOMC announcement on interest rates, as anytime the Fed comments on the state of the economy the market pauses to listen.  It’s usually not so much what the Fed does, as it is what they say, and tomorrow’s 2:15pm ET announcement is likely to be a market mover one way or the other.  For tonight though, my plan is to remain short-term with new plays, maintain current swing trades, and stay selective until we get a solid break from this range.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: ACL, HEW, PBR, CEDC, RGLD, WYNN

VS-1215-2009

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

ACL, F, CBT, VNO, GIL, LNCR, CAR, KLAC, LRCX, VISN, DTG, STX, RRD, HEW, H, AMSC, SANM

Bearish Watch:

CEDC, LNC, CNQ, STT, PBR, AU, GG, BVN, GDX, RGLD, IAG, GOLD, SLW, WYNN, VMW, PRU, ORLY, AGO, ANF, PCAR

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 12-14-2009

December 14, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

TL-12-14-09
trading-list-legend
VNO triggered, CBT & MDVN stops tightened

Open Position Notes:

CBT gapped higher this morning, but gave up its early gains with a test of the downside.  It didn’t spend much time there though, and by late morning it was trending higher.  Late in the day, it stabilized, holding onto its gains well in order to post a breakout on a closing basis.  This is encouraging, as the stock has been reluctant to run for the past few days.  Nonetheless, today’s move did come on light volume, which makes it a bit tougher to trust.  As a result, I’ve raised my stop tonight while still trying to leave it a little room to fluctuate while waiting to see if follow through arrives.

MDVN saw some early selling pressure today, but only was able to break Friday’s lows by a small amount before it stabilized and turned higher.  It trended for the remainder of the session, posting a solid gain by day’s end.  This is encouraging, so with the expectation of more strength based on the brief dip, I’ve tightened my stop loss tonight in order to further reduce risk in the trade.

VNO triggered a buy today as it cleared the trend line at the $70 level, and initially it hesitated.  Early strength was quickly surrendered, and the stock moved negative on the day.  However it did stabilize, and the stock behaved very well from that point forward with some nice strength to close out the day.  I’m leaving my stop loss as-is for now in order to allow this one some room, but if it is able to continue higher then I’ll make an adjustment.

PF-12-14-09

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 12-14-2009

December 14, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Positive news out of Dubai paved the way for an upbeat open this morning, but it wasn’t long before the excitement fizzled out.  With the President speaking today and an FOMC announcement on interest rates right around the corner (Wednesday), traders chose to proceed with caution.  As a result, momentum was sparse, and yet again we saw the bulk of the intraday price action characterized by a choppy trading range.

The one positive that came out of today’s action was that we finally saw breakouts occur on a closing basis in each of the averages as the NAZ closed above 2205, the S&P 500 above 1113, and the DJIA above 10,500.  That’s encouraging to see, but even that was not quite ideal since the indexes finished only a short distance above those levels and did so on light volume.  It is possible that we see limited follow through to today’s technical breakouts ahead of Wednesday’s big event, so it’s still a time when caution is warranted.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: STX, MON, F, RIG, MBT, GOLD, ACL, HCP, CREE, LNCR, PBR, GG, BVN

VS-12-14-09

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

ACL, HCP, F, SWSI, WY, CBT, VNO, BEAV, PSS, CLI, GIL, FMCN, CREE, LNCR, TSTC, CAGC, CAR, SLXP, KLAC, LRCX, VISN, STX, MON, INFA, DTG

Bearish Watch:

CEDC, CNX, RIG, MBT, DO, PBR, GG, BVN, SLW, GDX, RGLD, GOLD, AEM, USO, BTU

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 12-13-2009

December 13, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

TL-12-13-2009
trading-list-legend
ILMN stopped, VNO added

Open Position Notes:

CBT flirted for the fourth straight session with a breakout, and once again couldn’t make it happen as it slipped right back under key resistance by the end of the session.  This is still a setup which holds some promise, but the lack of follow through remains a concern.  I tightened my stop last week, and will stick with that adjusted stop heading into Monday.  It’s not far away either.

MDVN turned nicely higher on Thursday after triggering a buy, and was showing some follow through early on Friday as it made new highs, but some profit-taking kicked in and erased the early gains, putting it in negative territory by the end of the session.  Overall though, this one is still looking good and I’ll stick with my adjusted stop loss for now which stands at breakeven.

PF-12-13-2009

Closed Positions:

ILMN worked well for me but did trigger my adjusted stop for remaining shares on Friday as it turned higher early in the day.  This one could now create a higher low on the daily chart, so I’m out of the position with a net 5% gain, and will stand aside waiting for a new pattern to emerge before looking for another entry.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 12-13-2009

December 13, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

The bulls had yet another great opportunity on Friday to produce a meaningful breakout from the multi-week trading range as the major averages got to within just a few points each of their respective key resistance levels.  Needing a close above 2205 (NAZ), 1113 (S&P 500), and 10,500 (DJIA), the indexes could never quite gather enough steam to clear the hurdles.  Instead, we saw a quiet Friday with more sideways trading action, along with only minor net changes and mixed results by the closing bell.

The thing about trading ranges is that they can really test our patience.  Continuation traders find them extremely frustrating, and there’s a sense that just a little nudge might do the trick to get prices back on the move.  As a result, it’s easy to get focused just a little too under the microscope, where every newly-painted bar on the chart appears it could be the start of the next meaningful move.  Of course, the series of failures and reversals will slap the hands of many traders who are overly anticipatory, which serves as a great reminder to us that we must wait for confirmation of a new move before aggressively taking action.

We are still bound by a trading range, and therefore if we’re going to be effective, we must keep timeframes shortened and a tighter leash on trades, staying selective with new plays until the overall market can get back on the move.  Once that happens, we’ll be able to count on some better follow through and the assistance of the broad market.  For now though, the waiting game continues.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: NSC, PSS, RMBS, RIG, FLS, ACL, BBY, CLI, FCX, ARO, PBR, GDX, RGLD, VNO

VS-12-13-2009

Swing Trading Candidates:

VNO has bounced sharply from its lows of just a couple weeks ago, and over the past several days it has rested quietly with only a minor pullback.  This price action has created a well-defined bull flag pattern, so I’m watching for a breakout through the upper flag trend line at $70 to trigger a buy.  My trade parameters are in the Hit List post.

VNO-12132009

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

ACL, NTRI, NSC, BBY, PLD, HCP, CHKP, TTM, SEED, F, TRW, GD, SWSI, WY, CBS, CBT, VNO, ASIA, BEAV, PSS, RMBS, CLI, SLG

Bearish Watch:

CLF, PCU, FCX, MTL, RRC, CNQ, DO, STR, DVN, CNX, XOP, RIG, PBR, OXY, NUVA, ERTS, FWLT, AIG, LNC, RYL, MBT, STT, MFE, FLS, BIDU, AU, GG, BVN, GDX, RGLD, GOLD, ABX, SLW

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Trading Lesson 12-12-2009

December 12, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Trading Lessons

Trading Lessons are a feature here in The Bandit Hideout where we take a look back at a trade and see what we can learn from it. It might have been a winner which paid us nicely, and we’ll want to know what it was about that play that worked so well for us. Or it might be a trade which performed poorly for us, thereby offering us another valuable lesson which we might can apply going forward in hopes of avoiding a repeat mistake.

Whatever it is, the aim is to use the old ‘hindsight is 20/20’ adage to our advantage. We can learn a lot from the past! There’s no reason to ignore it when it can help us improve as traders.

Trading Lesson for 12-12-2009:

This past week, I caught a decent trade in ILMN, and wanted to take a look at it with you.  This one triggered in an unusual way, but it worked, and I hope you were able to profit from it.

I’m going to take you through this one in video format, so I hope you enjoy it.  If you have questions or comments, please feel free to leave them down below!

Trading LessonTrading Lesson Video – Click to Watch!

Remember, monitoring a stock’s behavior as compared to your original expectation for a trade can help you manage it well enough to profit, even if the stock doesn’t do exactly what you thought it would.  The aim is to profit, so be alert and flexible for maximum gain.

Trade Like A Bandit this week!

Jeff

Tagged With: Trading Lessons

Hit List 12-10-2009

December 10, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

1210-2009-TL
trading-list-legend
MDVN triggered, CBT & MDVN stops tightened

Open Position Notes:

ILMN bounced a bit today, stopping just a penny short of my adjusted stop loss for my remaining 1/2 position (1/2 was closed at Target 1).  This validates my stop for the time being, and I’ll wait to see if this one can turn back down.  If not, I’ll book the winner, but hopefully it can head toward Target 2 before it’s done.

CBT cleared yesterday’s high by a couple of cents today, but couldn’t stand it and gave back its early minor gains.  It finished the day just a short distance from my trigger, and overall this is not the kind of breakout behavior I’d like to be seeing.  I tightened my stop for this trade tonight because of that, but perhaps it just needs one more shot to gather some momentum.  If not, I’ll honor my stop.

MDVN triggered a buy today as it turned back up from its recent pullback, and the bounce found some legs.  The stock ended the day near its highs and well clear of my trigger, but volume was overall light, so I tightened my stop to breakeven due to the light volume.  This one has exhibited strong volume on every recent advance until today, so that’s a slight change which I don’t love.  Barring any major gaps in the stock, this means a “free” trade with my stop now at breakeven, so let’s see if it can head toward Target 1 before the weekend.

1210-2009-PF

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 12-10-2009

December 10, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

A gap up this morning took the indexes back to the upper end of the trading range and suggested this might be the day the bulls have been waiting for.  Breakout territory was only a few points away, and yet a dead sideways trading range was all they could muster for the rest of the session.  The lack of momentum delivered an incredibly tight channel, with buyers and sellers at a complete standoff for several hours.  Even as the final hour of the day arrived, all we saw was a minor dip followed by a bounce.

This kind of lackluster action is exactly what has perpetuated the trading range for the past few weeks, and the failure to capitalize on a breakout opportunity suggests the bulls still aren’t ready to start another run.  For now, the market is holding up well.  However, the lack of follow through remains an issue, as most stocks are simply limited in their capacity for lasting moves as long as the range persists.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: ACL, F, WMS, AIG, RINO, RYL

1210-2009-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

ACL, TTM, F, UAUA, SBUX, CREE, SWSI, RRD, CBT, TEG, MDVN, TECD

Bearish Watch:

FCX, WMS, PEET, VMC, AIG, JEF, RIG, RYL, RINO

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 12-9-2009

December 9, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

12092009-TL
trading-list-legend
WFMI stopped, ILMN Target 1 hit & stop tightened, WX removed, MDVN added

Open Position Notes:

ILMN continued lower today, moving through Target 1 where I closed 1/2 my position for a solid 6.2% gain.  I’ve tightened my stop again tonight for remaining shares, but overall am pleased with how this one is moving and it still has potential for further downside.  So far, so good.

CBT turned slightly higher today, finishing right near the breakout zone on the daily chart.  This is a slower mover but I still like the potential here, so I’m going to stick with my existing parameters on this trade for now while waiting for follow through.

12092009-PF

Closed Positions:

WFMI has been sluggish to get going in my direction lately, reluctantly creeping down since it broke support.  The lack of downside momentum has caused me to keep my stop somewhat tight, and today my adjusted stop was hit as this stock bounced.  I’m now out of the trade for a 3.3% gain, and will stand aside while waiting for a new pattern to emerge in this one.

Tagged With: Hit List

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