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Hit List 6-8-2010

June 8, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
06082010-TL
trading-list-legend
BIG Target 1 hit & stop tightened, MTB stopped, MHP removed (pattern negated)

Open Position Notes:

BIG continued lower this morning to move through Target 1 where I booked 1/2 my profits for a quick 5% gain, and then it was able to rally back later in the session along with the market to finish positive on the day.  Being respectful of the market’s opportunity to bounce here, I’ve tightened my stop aggressively for remaining shares of this trade so as not to give much back should the market happen to rally.

06082010-PF

Closed Positions:

MTB briefly undercut yesterday’s low this morning, but quickly turned around and rallied back up through my tightened stop.  So, I’m now out of this position for a 3.8% gain, and will wait for a new pattern to emerge before looking to enter again.  This isn’t a real fast mover, so to pull $3 out of it in just over a week was nice.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-8-2010

June 8, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Morning weakness led to a test of the May lows in each of the major averages as key levels recently highlighted here were challenged.  The buyers stepped in to offer support, at least temporarily, creating an upside reversal with some afternoon strength which lifted the market well off its worst levels of the day.  By the closing bell, the DJIA had chalked up a triple-digit advance, although the NAZ remained in the red.

It’s too early at this point to declare a turning point for this market, because one day held at support does not a bull market make.  What we do know is that the market had declined considerably from Thursday’s high of last week, and it was likely due for a bounce.  With key short-term support levels having been approached, it was a logical spot for bargain-hunters as well as shorts who needed to cover to step in.  Whether we see any lasting follow through from here remains to be seen, but for the time being, support is being respected.

With this market so capable of making a big move in either direction from here, and with so few high-quality chart patterns available tonight, my game plan for Wednesday is to keep short timeframes for new trades.  This is definitely a market for the nimble, so tight stops and quick profits are the name of the game for those venturing into the fray.  Maintain high levels of cash here, and wait to see if this market is able to build on the bounce which started this afternoon.  If a lasting rally is to take place, we’ll see a pullback after the initial bounce which will offer much better entries in terms of defined risk.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: TD, SMH, CSX, OII, QCOR, UNG, AMR, DECK, SWN, XCO, MA

06082010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

QCOR, UNG, NGD, XCO, AMR, ALK, HSY, CXO, DECK, SWN, CRK

Bearish Watch:

GPN, DPZ, BIG, DRQ, GMCR, MA

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-7-2010

June 7, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
06072010-TL
trading-list-legend
BIG triggered & stop tightened, MTB stop tightened

Open Position Notes:

MTB continued lower today on increased volume after spending much of the morning in a trading range, breaking down in the afternoon to finish lower by $1.12.  This one has already reached Target 1 (where I closed 1/2 my position), and is now approaching Target 2.  As such, I have tightened my stop for remaining shares again tonight so I don’t give much back in this trade should it happen to reverse.  It’s been acting well, so let’s see if it can move through Target 2 tomorrow.

BIG triggered a short entry today as it broke support and moved through the $33.90 level.  So far this one is behaving quite well, as it finished right near its low of the session with an expansion in volume – indicating that plenty of traders are dumping shares.  The stock showed nice follow through to the downside once support was taken out, and it now appears headed for the targets.  I’ve adjusted my stop loss tonight to something more prudent, but otherwise am awaiting follow through and the opportunity to book some gains as this stock heads lower.

06072010-PF

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-7-2010

June 7, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

The market flirted with positive territory a couple of times this morning, gapping slightly higher to begin the day and soon after bouncing to reach new highs on the session, only to reverse hard and chalk up another significant decline.  For the NAZ, it was a 2% loss, while the S&P 500 and DJIA each gave up slightly more than 1%.  Nonetheless, support was taken out in each index, reminding all that we’re still in a corrective phase.

I’ve mentioned a number of times here lately that upside follow through has been virtually nonexistent, as well as upside volume.  The inability of this market to put together even a decent bounce that lasts longer than a day has been the biggest warning flag of late, and it has kept me holding some short-sided exposure.  Hopefully even if you don’t trade the short side, you’ve long since raised cash and avoided the pain which so many are feeling.

At some point, the tide will shift again and stocks will rally.  Until that happens, the market remains in corrective mode and extreme caution should be exercised when considering trades on the long side.  We’ve seen a significant 2-day decline, and while more weakness could arrive tomorrow, it’s an equally important time to stay careful with new short sales.  Relief bounces have been sudden when they have arrived in recent weeks, so timing remains important even when trading in the direction of the prevailing downtrend.

For tomorrow, there sure aren’t many setups out there worth noting after a big rally last Thursday and then a steep selloff in the 2 sessions since.  I’m eyeing some trades, but keeping a pretty focused list until more quality bases emerge in the charts.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: NGD, PBR, GPN, GMCR

06072010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

NGD, EGO, THOR

Bearish Watch:

OII, MON, DWA, MAC, OIH, PBR, LPS, ATW, SLB, DO, MHP, FTI, SII, TRLG, NE, RIG, BIG, GPN, DPZ, NOV, DRQ, HES, GMCR, APC

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-6-2010

June 6, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
06062010-TL
trading-list-legend
UHS stopped, MTB Target 1 hit & stop tightened, BIG & MHP added

Open Position Notes:

MTB gapped lower on Friday and continued south, trending lower throughout the day.  It was enough weakness to take this one through Target 1, where I booked 1/2 my gains for a 3.8% winner.  I’ve adjusted my stop for remaining shares as we head into Monday, leaving a little room for it to fluctuate while waiting for more downside to carry this one toward Target 2.  So far, so good.

06062010-PF

Closed Positions:

UHS trended steadily lower throughout Friday’s session, ultimately hitting my raised stop loss at $41.70 to take me out of the trade for a modest 1.5% loss.  This stock had been holding up rather well, and given the new recent highs it had been making, I felt the tightened stop was prudent.  Nonetheless, it’s difficult to hold long positions in such a weak market, so I’m out with a small loss and will await a new pattern before considering another entry.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-6-2010

June 6, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

A highly-anticipated jobs report on Friday morning failed to impress, and overnight jitters from Europe were further exaggerated ahead of the opening bell.  The opening gap left the indexes 2% lower, and a feeble attempt to fill the gap ultimately failed after the first hour of the session.  From there, stocks continued their decline in a steady fashion, trending lower throughout the day as the major averages posted losses in excess of 3%.

Friday’s weakness brought the lowest closes for the DJIA and S&P 500 since this correction began, although intraday lows from May weren’t penetrated. The NAZ was the exception, holding above the lowest close in May by about 1%.  Each of the major averages saw increased volume on the decline, although volume remained below average.

Upside follow through continues to be the thing this market is lacking, and even though some support zones have become evident on the daily charts, there’s certainly no guarantee that they’ll hold.  Some mixed signals are coming from the indexes, but the common thread is that they’re each struggling to show strength on anything but an occasional basis.  Each bounce is still getting sold, which is a reminder that added caution is still best (just as it has been for the past several weeks).

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: SNDK, AZO, MAC, FTI, ATW, BIG, MHP

06062010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

BIG turned lower on Friday and now is resting on key support after several weeks of basing action.  This one has ample room to move lower if it breaks support, so I’m watching for a breakdown at $33.90 to initiate a short sale.

BIG-06062010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

MHP isn’t far from support within this descending triangle pattern, so I’m on the lookout for a breakdown any day now.  My trigger for a short entry will be the $26.90 level.

MHP-06062010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

SNDK, AZO, QCOR, ANV, ERY

Bearish Watch:

DRI, OII, ADM, CF, MON, DWA, CECO, SHLD, MTB, ITRI, PII, MAC, OIH, PBR, LPS, ATW, SLB, CCJ, DO, MHP, HAR, MEE, F, LLL, FTI, SII, TRLG, PWRD, TDW, NE, CEDC, RIG, BIG, ESI

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-3-2010

June 3, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
06032010-TL
trading-list-legend
MCO stopped

Open Position Notes:

UHS marked a new intraday and closing high today for its current rally, both of which are very encouraging.  The only issues I have with today’s action are the lack of strong volume to accompany the advance, and the finish off the highs of the session.  This one has held up pretty well, but I’m still awaiting good upside follow through at this point.  I’ve raised my stop once already, and will maintain that same stop heading into Friday.

MTB tested the waters on the upside today again, but ultimately pulled back to finish negative on increased volume.  This stock is still slightly above the key $78.50 level from which I initiated this trade, but it’s flirting with it daily.  I’m willing to give this one a little more time to make up its mind, as right now it seems unable to commit to a direction.

06032010-PF

Closed Positions:

MCO bounced early in the session today, just enough to take out my tightened stop for the 2nd half of this position.  I already booked solid gains on the first 1/2, but I’m now out of the trade due today’s early strength.  The stock did fade later in the day and could continue lower, but I’m out with a gain and will now wait for a new pattern to emerge before looking to re-enter.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-3-2010

June 3, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

A positive start this morning sent the indexes higher, although a mid-day dip erased those early gains.  Some afternoon strength did return, taking the indexes back into positive territory, but the senior indexes lagged the NAZ with only modest gains.  In the end, the market finished green, posting the first consecutive advance in several weeks.

Although it’s encouraging to see recent support hold, as well as back-to-back advances, the buyers still are acting hesitant to assert themselves.  That’s evident not only in the magnitude of the rallies, but in the brief nature of them, and particularly in the lack of upside volume.  That points to limited participation in the buying, which suggests there isn’t a lot of fuel propelling the rise.  Nonetheless, support is still holding for now, so it’s an environment which calls for abbreviated timeframes due to the lack of follow through we’re seeing in either direction.

As we head into the final session of the week, we have a big jobs report tomorrow which could easily set the tone for the day.  Therefore, my focus will be on day trades while maintaining my existing swing positions (see the Hit List post for details).

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: NAV, QCOR, OII, PEI, ADM, SNDK, IT, ORLY, DRI, CF

06032010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

UHS, NR, SNDK, AZO, NAV, QCOR, DTV, VMW, OVTI, IT, PAR, ORLY, UNG, QSFT, DGIT

Bearish Watch:

DRI, OII, ABX, PHYS, PEI, ADM, CF, MON, DWA, MOS, MCO, CECO, X, FO, SHLD, MTB, BEN, GLD

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-2-2010

June 2, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
06022010-TL
trading-list-legend
No changes

Open Position Notes:

UHS posted a solid advance today along with the market, which was encouraging to see.  The daily chart is starting to reveal a larger high-level base, so it could be that a little more upside push and this one could really make a nice move.  For now, I’ve already adjusted my stop loss and am waiting for more follow through.  The technicals appear conducive to more strength, but the buyers will have to produce it (along with some stronger volume).

MCO rebounded today after yesterday’s breakdown, but it didn’t recover it all.  I’ve already taken 1/2 my profits in this trade, and have a stop loss at breakeven for remaining shares, so I’m trying to be patient with this one.  The stock remains in poor technical shape, so I’m willing to stick with my existing trade parameters heading into tomorrow.

MTB bounced right back up today to reclaim the $78.50 level.  Although today’s volume was weak, today’s bounce makes Tuesday’s breakdown look rather suspect.  My stop is already in place for this trade, so it has a little more room to bounce if needed.  Tomorrow could prove to be a pivotal day for this position, so let’s see what happens.

06022010-PF

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-2-2010

June 2, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

The indexes had approached support with Tuesday’s selloff, but the buyers returned today to defend those zones, taking the indexes steadily higher throughout the session to post solid gains of more than 2% across the board.  The NAZ led the way by making a multi-day high, while the S&P 500 and DJIA each approached the upper end of their 8-day trading ranges.

Two things have been severely lacking in this market lately – upside follow through, and heavy upside volume.  While we will need to wait a couple of days to see if follow through arrives, today’s upside volume was evident once again with very underwhelming levels.  If volume is the fuel that drives prices higher, then this market is in need of a fill-up.  Nonetheless, support zones have been defended for now, so let’s see if the buyers can make a rare repeat appearance tomorrow.

In looking through the charts this evening, there still are a very limited number of setups out there to choose from.  We’ve seen back-and-forth directional movement in recent days within this range, so the lack of follow through and the light volume is keeping things tricky for now.  My plays for tomorrow are day trade candidates, so I’ll stick with my existing swing positions for now before looking to add any more overnight exposure.

For tonight, my notes are on the charts below for index levels and potential trades I’m eyeing for Wednesday. Thank you for your patience with this evening’s late report as I’ve been tending to some other matters.

Please leave your comments and/or questions below if you have any, I always enjoy the interaction.

NAZ-06022010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

SP500-06022010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

DJIA-06022010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

VIX-06022010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Day Trading Candidates:

These are the trades I’m eyeing for potential plays tomorrow. I will not be holding these overnight, and will wait for these levels to be crossed before entering trades.

CSTR-06022010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

SNDK-06022010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

DTV-06022010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

ABX-06022010

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

CSTR, ORLY, LCC, UHS, SNDK, PII, PAR, DTV, AGP, ARBA, DLB, VMW, OVTI, IT, NTAP

Bearish Watch:

ABX, MON, MCO, EL, SHLD, ATK, V

The Hit List post will follow shortly with my trade levels for the swing trades.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

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