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Bandit Broadcast for 6-24-2010

June 24, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

A few days of selling pressure after Monday’s downside reversal are starting to set up for a bounce, but it isn’t here yet.  Stocks suffered once again today as they reached new lows on the week with increasing volume, and the dip buyers stayed away yet again.  Volatility is back on the rise, and the selling thus far this week has been relentless, but it’s not all doom and gloom.

The June lows are still a considerable distance away, which means that the potential higher low I’ve been looking for on this pullback may still play out.  Add to that the fact that the pullback has been rather steep, and the odds for an upside reversal begin to increase.  We’ve seen a number of steep moves in the past couple of months, all of which have led to short-term reversals.

And speaking of short-term, that’s the timeframe I’m referring to here.  The establishment of a higher high has already occurred, and the next need for the bulls is a higher low.  That may not be a single-day event, so it’s important here to continue to respect this market’s ability to decline.  All I’m watching for is a potential multi-day bounce, and beyond that, we’ll have to evaluate if and how it unfolds.

Nonetheless, it’s been a good week to be short and then in cash.  As we head into Friday, I’m looking at a few potential day trades, but not looking to commit any capital over the weekend.

I’ll see you back here with the next Bandit Broadcast on Sunday evening, enjoy your weekend!

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: CRUS, XCO, MED, BP, CF

06242010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

APKT, GOLD, AZO, ARBA, ANV, OVTI, CRUS, AAPL, XCO

Bearish Watch:

MED, BIG, BP, APC, CF, MOS, MON, GPN

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-23-2010

June 23, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

100% Cash
DPS stopped

Open Position Notes:

No open positions.

Closed Positions:

DPS gapped lower this morning to trigger my stop, skipping slightly through my intended exit due to an analyst downgrade.  This one was acting pretty sluggish anyway since triggering, as I’ve noted here, so I’m out with a 2.6% loss.  It’s been a mixed bag in recent days for swing trading, with a couple trades getting stopped out and a couple trades moving all the way through their Targets.  Nonetheless, it’s been another nicely positive month thus far, and I’m now back to cash tonight.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-23-2010

June 23, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

For an FOMC day, it sure wasn’t very lively out there.  Stocks were sluggish all day as they tested the waters both on the downside and upside, only to finish little-changed from last night’s levels.  Momentum was fleeting, and it was truly a flipper’s market today with the frequent changes of direction we saw.

And while today’s action itself wasn’t impressive, it may have some implications for prices in the days ahead.  Note that I said ‘it may have.’  What’s of interest is that we’ve pulled back from Monday’s highs, and today prices stabilized.  We didn’t finish strong, but we did finish off the lows of the day.  That might point to some short-term pullback fatigue, so tomorrow could be telling in that regard.  A turn higher from here, or even some additional stabilization, would add credibility to the possibility of a higher low resulting from this dip.  The big advance from the June lows sets up that scenario, but the bulls are going to have to go out and make it happen.

For the time being, we’re still inside the trading ranges on the NAZ, S&P 500, and RUT, so for me that means I’m waiting for more technical proof of a higher low being established before I will commit much capital for more than just quick trades.  With that said, there are several names I’m eyeing for trades tomorrow, and I’ll outline them in detail in tonight’s video.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: CTRP, CF, VECO, CBOE, OVTI, BP

06232010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

LVS, GOLD, AZO, RBCN, ANV, FFIV, MENT, CTRP, ARUN, YGE, CF, OVTI, ARMH, MHP, EGO, CRUS, CBOE, VECO

Bearish Watch:

BP, AMG, APC, F, GPN

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-22-2010

June 22, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
0622-2010-TL
trading-list-legend
HOG & CNW Targets Reached

Open Position Notes:

DPS turned lower today on increased volume to slip back into the red, and this action isn’t very good.  The stock did stop short of stopping me out, but that’s a real possibility heading into tomorrow.  My risk here is limited, and the past couple of advances in the stock were sizeable, so I still felt the trade was worth taking.  If I’m stopped out tomorrow, I’ll move aside and wait for better strength to emerge in this one before looking to reenter.  For now, it’s hanging on by its fingernail, so perhaps it can rebound some tomorrow.

0622-2010-PF

Closed Positions:

HOG continued lower today with increased downside volume, moving through Target 1 right off the open where I booked 1/2 my profits for a quick 4.2% gain.  The weakness persisted though, taking it down through Target 2, allowing me to close out the 2nd half of my position for a 7.8% gain.  So, I’m now out of this trade with a solid 6% winner in just a few days, and will now stand aside and wait for a new pattern to emerge, as this one’s starting to get a bit stretched to the downside.

CNW broke down hard today, accelerating the modest decline which began last week with the break of the rising trend line.  Today’s move took this one down through Target 1, where I closed 1/2 my position for a 4.5% gain.  It then took out Target 2, where I booked the remainder of my position for 8.1%.  On a net basis, this one gave more than 6.3%, and I’m now out with a solid gain after just a few days of movement.  There’s still some room for lower prices, but I felt it was best to utilize today’s weakness and book the quick winner.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-22-2010

June 22, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

It was a pretty uneventful morning today with each of the major averages marking their highs early in the session, only to settle into trading ranges for the remainder of the morning.  However, the morning lows were broken with the arrival of the afternoon, and stocks declined steadily into the closing bell.

Recent resistance zones which had turned into short-term support levels were undercut and never reclaimed, continuing the weakness from yesterday’s downside reversal.  The indexes are now back inside their trading ranges once again, but the potential for a higher low to result from this pullback still remains.

Trading range price action is choppy and indecisive for the most part, so while we’re back inside the ranges, it’s best to stay selective and wait for high-quality patterns to develop.  My game plan heading into tomorrow is simple and straightforward with just a few potential plays.  I want to respect the frequent reversals which tend to be so common within trading ranges (now that we’re back inside one), so I won’t be building any big positions.  Add to the fact that tomorrow is a Fed day (2:15pm ET announcement), and there’s plenty of reason for caution here.

I’ll cover my trade ideas and of course the market action in tonight’s video.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: MED, AMG, ADSK, BP

0622-2010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

RBCN, VXX

Bearish Watch:

MED, CAT, HD, TEX, AMG, FTI, MMM, ADSK, BP, APC, CF, MON, LEN, F, WL

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-21-2010

June 21, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
06212010_TL
trading-list-legend
JLL & ALB stopped

Open Position Notes:

DPS ticked slightly higher today to reach its best level in a few weeks, but volume wasn’t quite strong enough to really provide some stronger momentum.  This one is in the green since clearing its trend line last week, but I’d like to see some acceleration soon to maintain conviction in the trade.  If that doesn’t happen, I’ll look to tighten my stop rather aggressively or possibly just close out the position.

HOG continued lower today to further confirm the broken rising wedge from last week, and I like the price action in this one quite a bit.  Target 1 was nearly reached today, so I would expect to see that level crossed tomorrow.  I’ve tightened my stop tonight, but am still allowing this one some room to fluctuate.  Also note I have designated Target 2 on the list above.

CNW attempted to bounce this morning but gave back those gains and finished in the red on the day.  The failure to finish strong is encouraging to see, particularly after the trend line break last Thursday, so I’m still on watch for some downside continuation in this one, as there’s plenty of room to slide.

06212010_PF

Closed Positions:

JLL gapped higher this morning to trigger my stop loss, taking me out of this trade as the stock pushed beyond its descending channel.  I’m now out of this trade with a 2.7% loss, which is somewhat irritating given the fact that this one returned to negative territory this afternoon due to the weak morning volume.  Nonetheless, I do respect the trade parameters I set out for trades, and ignoring stop loss levels isn’t something I want to make a habit of.  I’ll keep this one on watch in case it starts heading back down within its channel.

ALB gapped up and rallied early in the session to break out of its multi-week trading range, triggering my stop loss to take me out of this trade for a 2.8% loss.  The loss itself isn’t as disappointing as was the price action soon after, as this stock reversed back down to fill the morning gap and return to its trading range.  This one still looks vulnerable to lower prices, particularly after today’s fake-out move, so I’m going to keep it on the radar for a possible re-entry if it settles down a bit and begins to weaken.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-21-2010

June 21, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Stocks jumped out of the gate this morning to kick off a new week of trading with a sizeable gap.  The early strength wasn’t able to hold up though, and stocks tumbled into negative territory before it was all said and done.  After the bounce we’ve seen from the June lows, to see an upside gap get sold like this isn’t too surprising.  It’s also another example of why Monday morning optimism should be greeted with some skepticism.

Although the day’s gains were erased, it was interesting to see former resistance zones serve as support – for the time being anyway.  The S&P 500 respected 1105 on the pullback, and the NAZ was able to hold 2282.  We saw the RUT fail once again to clear 670 on a closing basis, so our levels remain valid until further notice.

Tomorrow is the start of a 2-day FOMC meeting on interest rates, with the announcement coming on Wednesday at 2:15pm ET.  Although no news should be anticipated tomorrow, the mere reminder of a 2-day meeting leaves traders less willing to commit, which often creates an environment best for quick-flip trades.  Keep that in mind as we head into Tuesday’s action, as I’m only eyeing day trades after a thorough look through tonight’s charts.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: VXX, F, MED, CAT, LEN

06212010_VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

DPS, FAZ, VXX, TWM

Bearish Watch:

MED, JOE, HOG, RL, JLL, FLS, HD, BP, WDC, UPS, ALB, EQR, CF, MON, FO, SHLD, MAR, F

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-20-2010

June 20, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
06202010-TradingList
trading-list-legend
JLL, CNW, ALB triggered

Open Position Notes:

DPS had advanced for 6 straight sessions going into Friday, and so a rest was to be expected.  With the overall market not doing much, this one put in a little rest with a minor pullback.  I’m leaving my existing trade parameters in place for now, allowing it some room to wiggle while waiting to see if the recent breakout can find some follow through.

HOG turned lower again on Friday after Thursday’s minor bounce attempt, and that’s encouraging to see.  Volume also picked up with the decline in price, showing more participation on the downside than on the upside.  I’m pleased with how this one is acting so far, and am waiting for continuation toward Target 1 before looking to make a stop adjustment or designate Target 2.

JLL edged slightly higher on Friday, but continues to respect the upper end of its trading range after a light-volume bounce to resistance.  A turn lower from this area would be ideal, so I’m watching for that scenario to play out over the coming days.  If not, my stop is in place and I will respect a breakout.

CNW backed off slightly more on Friday, but it was an inside day on the chart.  Typically these tend to be continuation bars, which in this case would point to additional weakness on the day due to Thursday’s decline.  For now, the lower high is still in place, so I’m staying short with my existing trade parameters as we head into Monday.

ALB continues to linger right near my entry as it hovers beneath the top end of its trading range.  I’m waiting for continuation to arrive with a multi-day low, so a move back down through the $42.15 area may be what it takes to invite more selling pressure.  Trading range reversals like this can sometimes require a little time before they get moving, so I’m staying patient while waiting for my move.

06202010-Portf

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 6-20-2010

June 20, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

And Happy Father’s Day!  I am a father to 1 already and have a 2nd on the way late this year – having a lot of fun and hope your families are well!

On to the market… We saw an important short-term breakout last week as the major indexes were able to push through some resistance zones (with the exception of the RUT at 670) and then hold them for the final few sessions of the week.  That’s a solid performance on the part of the buyers, particularly after their consistent presence for the past few weeks coming up from the June lows.  We’ve seen rallies of 6-8% across the board, which is no small feat given the persistent weakness which had been squashing each rally.

That does not mean the coast is clear yet, because the creation of higher highs will now need to be met with the creation of a higher low in order to truly shift the trend.  That may or may not happen this week, but the next dip will be very telling in terms of the validity of this bounce.  If the buyers are quick to step in and offer support, we’ll be able to buy with some greater confidence of a secondary advance.  If instead the weakness invites more selling pressure, we’ll know to remain cautious.

As for the week ahead, I think we either see the market accelerate higher out of the small flag-like patterns which have emerged on the daily charts of the indexes, or we see a pullback kick in to test the resolve of the bulls.  I’ll be keeping a close eye on last week’s highs as key areas to signal another advance, as well as the resistance zones which have turned into support for a possible move lower.

Heading into tomorrow, there are a number of plays I’m eyeing, but only for quick trades since we’re currently in a short-term trading range.  I’ll outline them in the video, as usual, along with my rationale and levels for each trade.

Enjoy your Father’s Day, and go get ’em on Monday!

Leave any comments or questions down below and I’ll be happy to address them!

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: MENT, IT, NVLS, PXD, RL, AMG

06202010-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT

Bullish Watch:

NFLX, DECK, DPS, LVS, ARBA, IT, GIL, RBCN, CAL, QCOR, MENT, FFIV, RKT, TEN, TK, NVLS, CROX, ARUN, NYX, PXD, CMI

Bearish Watch:

HOG, RL, JLL, CSTR, AMG, ALB, ESI, CNW

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 6-17-2010

June 17, 2010 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.
06172010-TL
trading-list-legend
JLL, CNW, ALB triggered

Open Position Notes:

DPS inched higher today to produce not only a little follow through but also some improvement in volume, just as I had hoped.  The gain on the day wasn’t impressive by any stretch, but it is challenging yesterday’s highs and could see some upside acceleration if it’s able to get a little further from the trend line it just broke.  Sticking with my existing parameters for now.

HOG had a nice breakdown yesterday and was able to break those lows today, only to rebound a bit by the closing bell.  This one still looks weak to me and in danger of lower prices, so I’m not making any adjustments heading into Friday.

JLL triggered a short sale today as it moved down through $73 to turn away from the upper channel line.  I like the fact that resistance is being respected, so now the key will be if this one can pull back deeper into the channel and pay me.  Today’s finish in the red is encouraging, but I would like to see more in the coming days.

CNW triggered a short entry as it undercut its rising trend line at $33, and volume picked up slightly on the move lower.  Today’s slide shows some nice relative weakness to the market, so let’s see if some follow through comes along.  I like the start so far, and will look for a deeper pullback before looking to make any adjustments to my stop.

ALB triggered a short entry today as it broke the $42.60 level to mark a multi-day low.  This stock has shown a recent history of quite a few high-volume distribution days, and while today’s volume wasn’t high, it was elevated and that is in keeping with the recent character of the stock.  Price looks to be rolling over here after nearing the upper end of the range, so follow through will be the key going forward.  Good start so far.

06172010-PF

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

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