Good evening StockBandits!
Amid a government shutdown and ongoing sources of concern, last week the bulls procrastinated on a deeper correction and stood their ground. [Read more…]
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By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
Amid a government shutdown and ongoing sources of concern, last week the bulls procrastinated on a deeper correction and stood their ground. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Index Charts
The market largely shook off the government shutdown last week, but the picture remained mixed. There’s a silver lining for the underperformance of the senior indexes (DJIA and S&P 500), which I’ll cover in the video.
As we head into a new week of trading, it’s time once again to take a look at the indexes and the key levels they’re dealing with. This will impact how individual names move, so it’s where every new trading week begins.
Hit the gear icon on the player to select HD and then go full-screen for best quality.
Run time is 7:12.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Take a trial to my Stock Pick Service to get my trades.
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
It was a pretty uneventful session today with a soft open which was quickly bought, an intraday uptrend for much of the session, and then a bit of backing off late in the day. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Stock Charts
The daily chart of GOGO has been providing some excellent lessons lately. A few weeks ago it displayed what momentum looks like with it’s short-squeeze-like runup off a fresh August low to make a new all-time post-IPO high of $19.18 on Sept. 20. Price began to settle down for a few days to digest the move, which formed an ascending triangle pattern to set up a potential second leg higher.
The breakout attempt from Sept. 26 didn’t hold, however, setting a new high only to close back beneath resistance. That was a failed breakout, which is something no bull ever enjoys seeing. Here’s a look at the chart up until then:
The following day (last Friday, Sept. 27), price tagged the Sept. 20 high to the penny ($19.18) and then finished just 7c off its low on the session. Then this week, price gapped lower on Monday and has continued to decline in a decisive fashion to completely fail the bullish setup. Price is now seeing some long-awaited profit-taking and at this point a new support zone will need to be established before a trade opportunity on the long side surfaces. Here’s how it currently stands:
Identifying momentum can be a good thing, but it brings with it some warnings. Locating it while still running hot can deliver some quick gains, but it’s imperative to recognize that it won’t last forever. High-level bases can certainly produce continuation, but a failure to hold a breakout attempt is always a warning flag worth noting. And anytime price completely negates a setup, a reversal is underway and should not be ignored.
If you need help understanding chart patterns and the fundamentals of trading, you’re in luck. This is the type of information we teach you in our stock trading courses.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Take a trial to our Stock Pick Service to get our trades.
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
The fourth quarter began today with a government shutdown and the market essentially yawned about it. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Trader Improvement
“Don’t step in the bucket!”
That’s a phrase I remember hearing from my little league days as the pitch would come in and I’d step toward third base with a swing of the bat. Whiffing the ball was a near-certainty when stepping left, and my Dad would remind me of that. I needed to be stepping toward the pitcher if I wanted to get a hit.
It’s fall baseball season around here, and right now we’re doing coach pitch with my oldest son. Last season was t-ball, so it’s a bit different for many of the kids to see the ball flying toward them while in the batter’s box. Some of them are flat-out afraid of the ball, and they make the same mistake I did – they “step in the bucket” to get out of the way of what they think could be a dangerous pitch, or they back off only to realize it had been a strike all along, ideal for hitting!
Traders are frequently afraid too…
Getting into trades is hard for some. For others, it’s about staying in their trades and not bailing out too soon.
Here are 3 things I’ve found to help eliminate trading fears:
Get smaller. This promotes clarity of thinking because the money is no longer by far the greatest focal point. The smaller the position, the lighter the damage could be if it fails and the smaller the profit will be if it works. The advantage of that is that it forces a return to the process of good trading, of making quality decisions based on what the price action warrants. It’s far less about reacting to P&L. This breeds confidence and helps to eliminate fear.
Trust your preparation. Working the charts and arriving at a trading plan for every position are two major aspects of preparation. There’s more to it than that, and for each trader the specifics may vary, but there’s something freeing about pulling the trigger on an order with the confidence of knowing where you’ll get out – for better or for worse. Make the time to make that plan, and you’ll feel less fear knowing you’re ready for multiple scenarios.
Remember that freak accidents are rare. Yes, they can and sometimes do happen, but they’re called ‘freak‘ accidents for a reason. Outside of a scheduled earnings release or corporate conference call, huge gaps are truly rare. Yet, the thought of holding a position overnight strikes fear in the hearts of many traders. Some are simply meant to be intraday traders, which is fine, but if you’re a swing trader, coming to grips with the likelihood of a big gap is a necessity. It might happen, and it might be a gift or it might be painful. But there will be a ton of trades which never gap huge that are ultimately the difference-makers for your trading success or failure. Think in terms of sample size, and understand that the outlier won’t skew your results much at all over time even if you do come face to face with that overnight haircut.
Stepping in the bucket is a habit, as is bailing out of trades too early or staying sidelined indefinitely. Getting out of that habit will take some intentional effort on your part, but it can be done and I hope these 3 steps help.
If you have found other ways to eliminate trading fears, let me know on twitter or Google+!
Take a trial of the Stock Pick Service to get my trades.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
Worry over a government shutdown prompted futures to open lower Sunday night and they never improved until after the opening bell for stocks this morning. We saw a 1% gap lower to kick off the week, but the lows of the session were set in the opening minutes of the day. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Index Charts
Last week we saw some rest and retreat, depending upon the index. Small caps held strong with techs, while the blue chips and financials slid with some consistency off their recent highs. That divergence will be resolved at some point soon, but which side is proving to be the leader here?
As we head into a new week of trading, it’s time once again to take a look at the indexes and the key levels they’re dealing with. This will impact how individual names move, so it’s where every new trading week begins.
NAZ – The NAZ added about 7 points on the week last week as it continued to respect 3798. This base-above-base look is certainly bullish, and there’s some additional room for the projection to 3814 out of the July/August trading range, but the bulls are still waiting for the right motivation to make it happen. At the very least this pause has been healthy to work off the overbought conditions we saw a week ago.
SP500 – The S&P is channeling lower here in the short term as it retraces some of the 102-point rally off the August low. The failed breakout through 1709 doesn’t help the bull case here, and neither does the persistent weakness of late. However, a breakout on the NAZ could certainly see a sympathy rally in this index. Next support is 1671 if we continue to slide.
RUT – The RUT keeps finishing in a tight range and is sitting just shy of its all-time high set intraday last week at 1082. This rest is healthy after the nonstop lift from the August low, but if continuation is going to happen sooner than later this index will need to hold the 1063 breakout, otherwise it’s likely in for a pullback. Even in the latter scenario this index has ample room to pull back and still create another higher low, so the bulls remain in good shape.
DJIA – The DJIA tried to break out two weeks ago and abruptly failed. Since then it’s been persistently weak with even last Thursday’s bounce finishing well off the session high. Friday’s session marked a new pullback low. Some stabilization here could carve out a higher low, but the bulls likely have a little emotional baggage in the short term after the breakout failure.
Take a trial of the Stock Pick Service to get my trades.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
The indexes separated from each other last week with small-caps and techs holding up rather well while blue chips and financials pulled back. Traders have been waiting for signs of a reunion ever since, but so far the mixed messages have continued. [Read more…]