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Bandit Broadcast for 11-22-2009

November 22, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Last week we saw a positive start which took the market to its best levels of the year as the S&P 500 reclaimed the 1100 level on a closing basis.  The upside saw no follow through, however, and the week ended in a different manner as selling pressure erased the early gains.

The downside wasn’t anything major, but it was enough to remind us that the market still hasn’t seen much of a correction throughout this entire rally.  The pullbacks have remained very shallow and brief, and the dip-buyers have stepped in repeatedly to offer support.  Friday was another example of that as we saw yet another afternoon bounce which diminished the losses of the day.  The trend remains up, and that deserves our respect, but we need to stay mindful of the fact that at some point we’ll see harsher selling kick in.

For the week ahead, we’ll likely see lighter volume as traders step away for the Thanksgiving holiday, and that’s worth noting.  The market will be closed on Thursday and only open for a 1/2 day on Friday, so it’s certainly a time when trading smaller size and keeping timeframes shortened is warranted given the lighter overall participation we’re likely to have.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: CAAS, TSTC, AXP, REV, PCLN, NANO, STT, UPL, CLR, FE

VS-11-22-2009

Swing Trading Candidates:

FE has settled into a descending triangle pattern as it trends lower from its Sept/Oct double top pattern.  In the near term, the bounces have carried to lower levels, while short-term support is being tested.  A breakdown through support at $41.40 will trigger a short sale for me as a swing trade.

FE-11222009

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

BBY, REV, FCX, HOLI, GOL, RAI, AXP, TX, PCLN, CAAS, HEAT, DLB, MON, NANO, GAP, PRGO, MEE, LNCR, RGLD, HNT, CGA, GLD, LIHR, LNY, CML, TYC, CCI, LFT, TSTC

Bearish Watch:

WFMI, FE, NTRS, UNT, OIS, ERTS, STT, VMC, BX, CLR, UPL, ZION

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 11-19-2009

November 19, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

11-19-2009-TL
trading-list-legend
HAL removed, CVX & USO stopped

Open Position Notes:

FCN pulled back slightly today, but overall it held up pretty well.  Volume upticked slightly, but remained below average.  The past couple of days appear to be a minor pullback within the overall uptrend, so I’m trying to stay patient while waiting to see if this one will turn back up.

FDX took a dip today as it filled Monday’s gap.  Fortunately, volume was very light, and the stock was able to rebound a fair amount from the session lows to roughly cut the day’s losses in half.  This appears to be a healthy pullback within the uptrend, so I’m sticking with it for now with no adjustments tonight.

WFMI has been trying to fill the gap from August since breaking support on Tuesday, but today the stock bounced on increased volume to reclaim the former support zone at $26.70.  This is a bit of a concern, but my stop isn’t far away so if the bounce continues I’ll respect that and allow my stop to take me out.  I’d prefer to see the recent weakness return, so we’ll see what happens tomorrow.

11-19-2009-PF

Closed Positions:

CVX turned lower today, falling back into the channel it has been trying to break out of with an uptick in volume.  This took the stock down through my stop loss, which had been kept pretty tight.  This is a failed breakout attempt, so I’m out of the trade with a 2.3% loss.  I did like the risk/reward for this trade, although the sluggish action since it triggered an entry did test my patience.  I’m going to keep an eye on it in case it is able to firm up again, but for now I’m out with a small loss.

USO triggered a buy yesterday by hitting my trigger price right on the nose at $41.00.  The inability to push through the whole number was a little concerning to me, but I was willing to stick with it and see if it would go ahead and move solidly higher out of the descending channel it has been bound by for the past few weeks.  Today it turned decisively lower to fall back well into the channel, taking me out for a 3% loss as it hit my stop.  This is a manageable loss, but it is still a little disappointing considering the entry was triggered to the penny.  Clearly I wasn’t the only one watching the $41 level, but in this case waiting a few more cents (like $41.05) may have proven worthwhile.  The channel itself is still intact, so I’ll watch this one in case it turns back up for another possible breakout.  For now, I’m out.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 11-19-2009

November 19, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

A negative start to the day brought about some additional selling as the morning gap to the downside inspired traders to raise some cash.  The lows of the session were found late in the morning though, never to be seen again.  From there, the indexes were able to stabilize and recover a portion of the morning losses, although they did remain in negative territory.

Once again, early weakness was partially offset by some afternoon buying, which is another glimpse of the dip-buyers stepping in to do their thing.  They’ve been paid well every single time they’ve done it since March, so they’re conditioned to respond in this manner.  Whether this time will prove fruitful for them or not remains to be seen, but the intraday bounce reminds us that even on a down day the sellers aren’t the ones in control.

Heading into Friday, it’s an options expiration day, which brings some unusual elements into play for the day.  It is also a Friday ahead of a major holiday with Thanksgiving being next week, so it’s a day on which I’ll be very patient as well as selective with new trades.  Keep that in mind particularly as the afternoon arrives, as more traders will have reason to start the weekend early if no momentum is present.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: RINO, REV, FE, CVC, BBY, DLB, ERTS, CYT

11-19-2009-VS

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT.

Bullish Watch:

AXP, RAI, CVC, GOL, HOLI, RINO, FCX, ACL, REV, TX, UIS, BBY, PCLN, CAAS, NARA, HEAT, DLB

Bearish Watch:

WFMI, AYE, PVA, UNT, LUK, NTRS, OIS, WINN, HOT, FE, CNW, ITG, ERTS, MCO, MET, CYT

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 11-18-2009

November 18, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

11182009-trdg
trading-list-legend
USO triggered

Open Position Notes:

CVX tested the downside today but finished the day slightly positive following an afternoon rebound which erased its losses.  This one continues to look like it could break out and get running on the daily chart, although we have yet to see it.  I’m staying with it for now with no changes tonight.

FCN sold off this morning but was able to stabilize for the remainder of the day, never breaking the morning low set in the first hour.  Today’s dip came on light volume, so I’m sticking with my existing trade parameters for now while waiting to see follow through.

FDX turned lower today as it retraced some of its recent gains, although it did hold above the Monday morning gap.  Today’s downside also came on light volume, so I’ve made no changes for this one as I’d like to see how it responds in the next couple of days.

WFMI continued lower today after yesterday’s trigger, although it did not break Tuesday’s low.  This one still has some room to tumble before the August gap gets filled, so I’m staying patient with it for now.

USO turned higher today by briefly breaking out of its descending channel, triggering an entry for me as it hit the trigger twice right on the number.  I would have expected it to push on through the whole number at $41, but it didn’t, and instead backed off slightly from that level.  This is a slow-moving ETF, and it appears we’re still waiting for a breakout that will stick, so perhaps that can occur in the next couple of days.  I do still like this setup and will leave my stop as-is heading into tomorrow.

11182009-posi

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 11-18-2009

November 18, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

The major indexes spent the day in negative territory today, unable to gather any traction in either direction.  The selling pressure was mild and temporary, as the session lows were made early in the afternoon before a gradual rebound arrived.  The late-day bounce erased most of the losses, leaving the indexes only down slightly on the day.

Today’s action marks another day of rest, and it’s worth noting here that the bulls are hanging tough.  Shallow dips with late-day bounces characterize bull markets, which is what we’re in.  Having just attained new recovery highs from the March low, the trend is still up and a few quiet days like we’ve had the past 2 sessions is certainly a good way to digest recent gains.  It’s a reminder to us to stay very selective when trading the short side, while watching closely to see if the upside momentum will return.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed: CAT, MMM, UIS, RAI, ACL, COP, KMX, HAL, BEN

11182009-vid

Swing Trading Candidates:

NONE TONIGHT.

Bullish Watch:

HAL, CAT, BXP, RAI, BEN, MMM, ACL, CVX, USO, UIS, FOSL, COP, TSTC, PCLN, PLD, KSU, ACF, AMB

Bearish Watch:

WFMI, RRC, GYMB, ITG, AMED, KMX

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 11-17-2009

November 17, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

tradinglist-11-17-2009
trading-list-legend
WFMI triggered, HAL & BEN & USO added

Open Position Notes:

CVX posted a slight gain on the day despite spending the session in a choppy trading range  This one has yet to really break out and run higher, but it can be a slow mover so I’m doing my best to be patient for now.

FCN started the day in negative territory, but quickly gained some traction and worked higher for the rest of the day with some intraday higher lows being formed on each pullback.  The upside was limited, but I like the relative strength and it still has plenty of room to run.

FDX spent the day in a rather choppy range, although it did post a gain on increased volume.  This one is acting well, so I’m going to stick with my existing trade parameters for at least another day before looking to make any adjustments.  I like the quiet advance today, and will watch for follow through.

WFMI triggered a short sale this morning as it sold off steadily for the first 1 1/2 hours of the day.  From there it stabilized and rebounded a fair amount, but it still finished not only negative on the day but also beneath former support.  I continue to like the prospects for this one, so I’m sticking with my existing trade parameters.

portf-11-17-2009

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 11-17-2009

November 17, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

Following Monday’s breakouts, the indexes weren’t able to do a whole lot today.  A minor test of the downside this morning did find buyers though, and from there we saw the market trend gradually higher into the closing bell.  By the end of the day the indexes were positive, but overall it was a well-deserved day of rest.

With key levels being cleared yesterday across the board, some follow through is expected by many relatively soon.  The fact that the market has run a considerable distance just in the last 2 weeks does warrant some rest, but breakouts generally should be followed by additional strength, particularly when they occur after a few days of rest like we saw last week.  Regardless, today’s quiet action is a healthy way to digest Monday’s gains, and the bulls provided yet another reminder by offering support on even the slightest dip that they still fully intend to defend the uptrend.

Before we get to tonight’s video, I just want to be sure you were able to check out today’s post for The Bandit Blueprint.  It’s a spreadsheet created by a fellow Bandit, and it’s intended to assist you with position-sizing and decision-making on trades.  Be sure to check it out when you get a chance, I think you’ll find it incredibly useful!

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed:  CAT, MMM, UIS, CTRP, ITG, AMED, HAL, BEN, USO

vidstks-11-17-2009

Swing Trading Candidates:

HAL is once again challenging upper resistance here within an uptrend, which means another leg up could begin any day.  I’ll be using the trend line at $32.05 as a pivot for a buy, but will only be a buyer once that level is cleared.

HAL-11172009

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

BEN has been constructing a well-defined cup & handle pattern over the past few weeks, and is now acting as if it could break out from this pattern any day as it challenges upper resistance.  I’ll be a buyer if and when the $116.50 level is broken as this stock begins a new leg up.

BEN-11172009

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

USO is an oil tracking ETF and here it is sitting at the top of its recent descending channel after a nice advance during October.  This creates a large bull flag pattern, and a breakout above the channel at $41 will trigger a buy for me.

USO-11172009

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

NTRI, HAL, FCN, CAT, LCAPA, BEN, FCX, MMM, TUP, CVX, FDX, MELI, TX, USO, UIS, OIS, CTRP, TXT, COP, PCLN

Bearish Watch:

AMED, WFMI, MCO, RAH, ARO, AMAG, LEN, ITG, STEC

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 11-16-2009

November 16, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

11162009-list
trading-list-legend
FCN & FDX triggered, X removed, WFMI added

Open Position Notes:

CVX turned higher today to get back above the trading range, although volume was still lackluster.  This stock remains sluggish, but the pattern is still constructive, so I’m trying to be patient with it while waiting to see if it can get back on the move by leaving this high trading range on a solid breakout.

FCN moved up and out of its bull pennant pattern today with an uptick in volume.  Today’s high approached the recent high from last week, but it wasn’t cleared.  Nonetheless, today’s advance is positive, so I’ll be watching for some follow through in the next couple of days.

FDX gapped through my intended trigger price today, but as per my swing trading strategy, I still took the trade but by a reduced amount.  Today’s move constitutes another breakout for this stock, and it’s acting quite well here with the jump in volume.  I’ll be watching for follow through and a continued move toward the targets in the days ahead.

11162009-trades

Closed Positions:

No closed positions.

Tagged With: Hit List

Bandit Broadcast for 11-16-2009

November 16, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Videos

Good evening StockBandits!

A positive start to the week quickly found momentum this morning as the indexes jumped right out of the gate.  A big surge in buying kicked in right after the opening bell, taking each of the indexes to new recovery highs on the year as stocks continued their climb.  Some afternoon profit-taking did bring the market down a bit from its best levels of the day, but all in all it was a very solid performance by the bulls.

Aside from the impressive point gains, each of the indexes cleared key levels today, making it a technically significant day as well.  The S&P 500 closed above 1100, the NAZ closed above 2190, and the DJIA finished above 10,400.  Each of those zones have been outlined here in recent weeks and months, so the key going forward will be whether or not the bulls can build on today’s strength.  We’ve seen quite a run just in the past couple of weeks, but with momentum on their side, the bulls could continue to drive stocks higher for a little while longer.

At some point we’ll need to see a more meaningful rest, but the few days of quiet action we saw last week helped to alleviate some of the overbought conditions which had emerged, paving the way for another leg up.  Today’s move could be the start of it, but it’s still a time to stay on our guard just in case conditions shift suddenly.

Here is tonight’s video:

broadcast-preview
The Bandit Broadcast Video – Click to Watch!

–

Video Stocks Discussed:  WHR, NTRI, HBI, UIS, WYNN, ARO, WFMI

11162009-stocks

Swing Trading Candidates:

WFMI has established the $26.70 area as a key level in recent months with it serving as both resistance and support.  In the past few weeks, the stock has trended lower to approach that level once again, and after a failed bounce attempt which created the ‘h’ pattern, it may be poised for another move lower.  There is an unfilled gap from early August which I’ll be using as my target for this one, and I’ll look to short sell it if it undercuts the $26.70 horizontal trend line.

WFMI-11162009

Chart courtesy of StockFinder

Bullish Watch:

WHR, NTRI, FCEA, FCN, ADSK, CHKP, MGA, MCK, LCAPA, REV, MMM, TUP, CVX, FDX, DTV, HBI, SFD, UIS, HMIN, SGY, EMN

Bearish Watch:

AONE, WFMI, FUQI, WYNN, STEC, RRC

The Hit List will be coming out soon with discussion on open positions and swing trade stops and targets, so be sure to watch for it.

Trade Like A Bandit!

Jeff

Tagged With: Bandit Broadcast

Hit List 11-15-2009

November 15, 2009 By Jeff White Filed Under: Hit List

The Hit List is a look at our current swing trading positions. Stocks we are already in have “triggered”, while those we are considering for plays have not triggered. Click post title to view print-friendly link.

11-15-2009-tradinglist
trading-list-legend
RTI  & JNPR stopped, HON removed (pattern failure), FCN & FDX & X added

Open Position Notes:

CVX bounced slightly on Friday but overall continues to hover not far from the breakout zone, implying it just might not be ready to run yet.  I’m leaving my stop loss as-is, and will be patient to see if this one will pick a direction or continue higher in the coming days.

11-15-2009-positions

Closed Positions:

RTI gave me a nice run and was acting like it really wanted to break down hard, particularly after last Thursday’s selling pressure.  I tightened my stop accordingly after the 1st Target had been reached, and was subsequently taken out on Friday with the market rebound.  I’m out of this trade with a very nice 6.2% gain in just a few days.

JNPR had shown plenty of relative weakness to the market in recent weeks, and attempted to really start to crumble on Thursday.  The rebound later in the session was an indication that it might be hesitating a bit, and I tightened my stop heading into Friday.  I was taken out very quickly after the open on Friday as the stock bounced sharply.  This ended up being a breakeven trade, which is the 2nd-best scenario for a failed pattern, so I’m out with no harm.

Tagged With: Hit List

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