Good evening StockBandits!
The market seems particularly adept at climbing the proverbial “wall of worry” and that’s exactly what it’s been doing ahead of Friday’s sequester. [Read more…]
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By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
The market seems particularly adept at climbing the proverbial “wall of worry” and that’s exactly what it’s been doing ahead of Friday’s sequester. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
The market stopped the bleeding today after an early bounce attempt was met with selling to take 3 of the big 4 indexes to new pullback lows. From there, a modest early afternoon lift left the indexes in the green for the remainder of the session. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
Last night I highlighted uptrend lines which were broken last week. I mentioned that pretty early this week we were likely to see whether Friday’s light-volume bounce was going to result in a kiss goodbye of the those trendlines from below before additional selling, or whether they’d be reclaimed. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Index Charts
Last week we finally saw some selling kick in, and it was enough to shake things up a bit in the short term. Will it mark a lasting turning point, or is it merely another buying opportunity? Let’s talk it over and see what the charts have to say.
As we head into a new week of trading, it’s time once again to take a look at the indexes and the key levels they’re dealing with. This will impact how individual names move, so it’s where every new trading week begins.
Hit the gear icon on the player to select HD and then go full-screen for best quality.
Run time is 7:33.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Take a trial to our Stock Pick Service to get our trades.
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
The previous 4-day trading week we had in January offered plenty of movement, and last week’s holiday-shortened week was no different. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Trader Improvement
As a kid, I’d get on any ride. No roller coaster intimidated me, I was game for anything. But then something happened, and I’m not sure what it was. Some kind of mental obstacle just appeared, and I’m not sure why. All I know is that in recent years, I backed away from the big rides. I got on some of them, but I didn’t like them! Why?
It wasn’t the speed, it was about control. Going fast doesn’t spook me, I’ve driven 150mph too many times. But in those cases, I’ve been the one choosing the speed, having control.
On a flight last fall, however, I was reminded just how little is within my control. It was at night leaving Philly in a nasty thunderstorm – the kind which paints the radar red. Why we took off, I have no idea, but it certainly got my attention. That plane got tossed all over the sky, and at one point I’d swear we dropped 2,000 feet in a couple of seconds. I was honestly terrified, but the Lord got me through it!
Following that gut check, I went to Disney World with my family. After the thunderstorm flight, no roller coaster held sway over me. I pushed the pictured 458 Italia to its limits around the track, but more importantly I rode every coaster and thrill ride in every park, without fear, because my perspective had shifted. Just like as a kid, I knew I wouldn’t die! That sounds ridiculous, but my fear was removed and I was released to have fun again. I had overcome my worry through reason and as a by-product of some circumstances (US Scareways).
So what does this all have to do with trading?
In trading, we have the ongoing opportunity to push ourselves, to confront fears, and to reason our way beyond obstacles which have simply appeared. But it’s not as if we can just push through and ignore it. Fear is our mind’s way of warning us of danger, right? So it isn’t wise to just ignore it, nor is it easy. I hear from traders almost every day who are too afraid to trade. They’re handcuffed and simply cannot pull the trigger no matter how pretty a setup happens to be. It’s overwhelming to them to just enter a position.
Getting beyond those mental hurdles takes a shift in perspective. It takes reasoning, and it takes some adjustments. Whereas that extremely turbulent flight happened by chance, in trading we have to create some of those new circumstances in order to train our minds to think differently again. That takes intentional effort, not sitting back and hoping things will suddenly feel different.
Maybe it means temporarily eliminating certain types of plays which have harmed you in the past. Or maybe it means you still step out in the way of some (assessed) risk, but you do so with extremely small positions. You know they can’t destroy you, and the aim is to get back in the saddle – not to immediately make money. That can happen later.
If you find yourself shell-shocked in the markets, for whatever reason, start creating a different reality, somehow. Find a way and be creative if you need to. Take baby steps until your confidence returns. Learn some new techniques, and only size up when you’re emotionally stable again. But you have to find a way to limit your risk and get beyond the worry of ruin. It’s the only way you’ll return to profitability and start having some fun again in the markets.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Take a trial to our Stock Pick Service to get our trades.
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
The market pulled back today without an attempt to rally at all as early weakness only accelerated the selling on news that the Fed may consider altering its QE program. It was a change of pace to see cash get raised in what has been a very steady climb. I’m not yet writing the obituary on this rally, but today looked to be a change of character worth noting. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Nightly Reports
Good evening StockBandits!
In the sports world, true domination takes place when one team simply can’t seem to beat the other. It’s not necessarily about a blowout win, because quite honestly anyone can have an off night and often times after that happens the favor is returned as the big winner lets up and the (former) big loser gets determined enough to even things up. But true domination…it’s lopsided. It’s all wins for one side, and all losses for the other. Like a wrestling match between me and my 5 year-old, I like to sometimes let him think he can get me but I’m still just bigger than he is. [Read more…]
By Jeff White Filed Under: Stock Charts
The RHT daily chart is caught in a downtrend channel over the past few months, yet zooming out on the chart reveals what looks to be a pullback within the context of an overall uptrend.
So…who’s right, the bulls or bears here?
Both of them can be, and that’s because your view on a chart and the way you respond to what you see should be a function of your timeframe.
Short-term traders should pay the most attention to the most recent price action, which reveals a bounce within a correction phase that’s been underway since last spring. Bounces within the channel have been getting sold, so the short side is the one that will pay best until that changes (break of upper trend line, currently near $57). Also note how choppy the bounces within the channel have been vs. the declines which have been far smoother.
This intermediate-term chart shows RHT working lower in a well-defined channel with bounces to the upper end being followed by smoother selloffs to lower lows.
Those with a longer-term view see this as a pullback within a longer-term uptrend, which could present another opportunity for upside once it gets resolved. Those with holding times of months or beyond can wait for a turn up out of this channel to indicate the potential for another leg higher as strength returns.
This long-term weekly chart of RHT shows the stock has produced a sizeable advance over the past few years with the price action of the past few months looking like merely a pullback within the longer-term trend. A turn up out of this channel would be needed to set this stock back on the course of higher prices, but it’s a real possibility.
Opinions are a dime a dozen, and that’s not what you need for your trading. Instead, first consider your timeframe and then seek to discover some if/then scenarios for taking action.
Successful trading isn’t about predicting what happens next, it’s about taking the right kinds of risk with your capital. That becomes far easier when you stay objective with the price action you’re seeing on your preferred timeframe.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Take a trial to our Stock Pick Service to get our trades.